MN US Senate Approvals: Inside The Numbers
Posted by Andy on June 20th, 2007
I’d urge everyone invovled to take a very close look at the internal numbers in Survey USA’s latest US Senate approval numbers for Coleman (R) & Klobuchar (D).
Specifically the party affiliations and conservative and liberal numbers.
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June 20th, 2007 at 3:19 pm
What are we looking for?
June 20th, 2007 at 9:27 pm
The oversampling of liberals/self identified Democrats to Conservative/self identified Republicans maybe…..
LL
June 20th, 2007 at 11:47 pm
All I saw was that Coleman is as popular with Republicans/conservatives as Klobuchar was with Democrats/liberals. That each was rated below 70% by those of their own party I thought was telling. I like my Republicans to be a lot more “mean spirited” than that.
June 21st, 2007 at 6:45 am
LL: that is one point. there is too big an Independent sample
but
there is a sizable drop off with conservatives for Coleman. Like it or not, these are the volunteers. He needs them to win. I hope he is not counting on the anti-Franken idea to draw them.
Republicans who moderated their message in 2006 faired pretty bad.
And it is worth noting that there are Republican factions (GOP, not conservatives alone) that are already considering the alternative of staying home.
I’m just saying our guy had better not forget about the base. Like it or not, the cons make up a large portion of it.
For Coleman to win, we will need better turnout than last time. What better way to do that than make sure all your voters show up.
Oh and contrary to MNGOP/RNC theories, just calling them a dozen times and knocking on their door will not drag them to the polls to vote for someone they do not trust.
that works for liberals, but conservatives are smarter than that.
This is not meant as an attack on anyone, but a word of caution early on in this race.
June 21st, 2007 at 10:43 am
A very sound analysis, Andy. I agree with all points.