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  • Beware of the McPlenty - Dinosaur POTUS Polls & Campaigning

    Posted by Andy on March 15th, 2007

    Take this Duncan Hunter supporter Ken

    HE POLL: Franklin Pierce College and WBZ-TV New Hampshire telephone survey March 7-12.

    REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL PREFERENCE _ 400 likely Republican presidential primary voters, sampling error plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

    John McCain 29 percent

    Rudy Giuliani 28 percent

    Mitt Romney 22 percent

    Newt Gingrich 5 percent

    Mike Huckabee 2 percent

    Sam Brownback 1 percent

    Chuck Hagel 1 percent

    Duncan Hunter 1 percent

    Got that Ken, Hagel and Hunter are tied.

    Actually this shows what I am afraid of. These polls are working on the old, ‘Its all about Iowa and New hampshire baby’ model. McCain is working on that very model too. Evidence of that is his Straight talk express bus tour is conveniently leaving out every state between Iowa and New Hampshire.

    bustour_emailheader.jpg

    See, that’s from an email I got today. He’s focusing solely on those two states. Hence, his numbers are actually visible there. Conservative Republicans be damned.

    I’ll tell you now why this is so bad for those of us who don’t want McCain to win the Presidency nomination. Because McCain is doing it old school. He’s assembling a big list of people that he can send out to the 10% (my guesstimate, but I figure it is close) in these itty bitty states that show up and actually decide the President of the United States.

    It was a few people in a room in Iowa that decided in a couple states that decided John Kerry embodied gravitas. Well, maybe they thought it was gravitass. Anyways, long post short. (I’ll just let you now, in post edit, that it isn’t short at all)

    Look out folks. Don’t count McCain out too soon. He’s snatched up a lot of folks who know how to run this old school type of campaign. They will be pimping these polls everywhere that primary voters might see it. They will only focus attention and energy on where it really matters. In the Republican nomination’s case, that’s Iowa, New Hampshire, and maybe a bit of South Carolina.

    McCain and his staff could give a rats’ patuty about CPAC, Club for growth, the blogs, talk radio, and such. All that matters to them is getting to that magic number of actual delegates to win the nomination. BTW: Did you know McCain snubbed the Republican Research Committee too? That’s elected Congressional Republicans. What a bleepin arse. No wonder so many have backed Ken’s Hunter. Has McPlenty been to a single conservative group yet, and asked for their support, or has he just sent surrogates?

    Here’s the problem with McCain’s whole ‘don’t worry they’ll get behind me if I get elected‘ strategy. We won’t, well not all of us. Yes some people are conservatives because they are terrified of liberalism and socialism and want to get as far from it as possible, thus that makes them defacto conservatives, because they oppose socialism. They will work, volunteer, and donate just so that the Hill-Bama types don’t get into the White House.

    But there are a ton of us who actually believe this crap, and hold grudges when people tell us our ideas are stupid and will never win on a ballot. We are willing to stay home, as bad as it sounds. I would be the type that shows up to vote on election day at the least, but I’ll be damned if I go out of my way to work for a guy who doesn’t reflect my core beliefs and has actually worked against them in the past. Heck had he not bucked conservatives or been a Republican pushing liberal Democratic ideas, he’d be a no one.

    This RINO revolution that McPlenty, Bush, Congressional Republicans (pre-2007) and the likes are waging with the new version of compassionate conservatism, as known as poll sensitive conservatism that has passed approval in at least 3 out of 4 focus groups is exactly what killed us in 2006. We know what we stand for. Don’t tell us what we need to stand for, because we know that it is what you need us to stand for.

    I say no thanks.

    dang it! I really set out not to get anti-McPlenty on this one. Honestly. I didn’t intend to.

    But I have a very terrible feeling that the MNGOP is in serious trouble, and this POTUS race is going to be the straw that broke the elephants back here if McPlenty gets it. You see, the backbone of the MNGOP is stressed to the breaking point from some very serious divisions with in because of some wayward leadership on the agenda items and goals, and flat out failure by the last 2 party chairs. (notice I said last 2, I’m blaming 2 guys there)

    If we were to go into another election today, as is, we’d be lucky to hold the few seats we have left. Honestly folks, take a long hard look. We’re not ready for anything, and the more I hear, the worse I feel. I liked it better when I didn’t hear about what Ron Carey was doing in his little serfdom. I preferred it when…..

    dang it, I wasn’t gonna do that either. grrrr

    We’re screwed folks. The MNGOP is going to live up to my worst nightmares with its current path if the stories of the ‘reforms’ are true and the further consolidation of power by Ron Carey is allowed to happen. Every time I hear what is going on, I feel more and more like there is absolutely no point in fighting anymore. Hey, the fight is noble, we’re just going to have our friends dousing the battle field with kerosine and landmines.

    stop it, go back to McPlenty

    And McCain could very likely win the nomination, not by support, but by having hired the right combination of people who know how to win these sorts of primary campaigns. In the end, l when you put those two items (MNGOP & McPlenty) together, do you know what you will have to work with in 2008 here in Minnesota?

    Ron Carey and Tim Pawlenty and a few workers who don’t give a rip who represents them so long as they don’t have a (D) behind their name. That ain’t going to win an election, and it sure as heck isn’t going to provide anything for picking up more voters.

    Its the workers and volunteers that matter in general elections folks. You can have the perfect list, but if there is no one to deliver the message, it doesn’t matter. No one is doing anything to get the issue conservatives excited, let alone happy enough to help out.

    OK, I am going to just stop typing now. I’ve been harsh on Carey and McCain. I am guessing the smear merchant commenters will be coming back.

    Signing off til after Keegans.

    OK, one last thing, can someone please get the Bachmann folks to stay out of the news for a week? Just a week of nothing would be super. Seriously, lock that flapping office down and don’t say a word, send an email, or answer the phones for a solid week. The fire will go out as long as you stop lighting matches. Thanks.

    OK, now its official everyone will be pissed at me….. wait. No, I better really make sure before I sign off.

    I’m tired of the Angry Al stuff. good grief, no one who will make a difference in the next election is paying attention, thus umpteen posts a day is a bit much. Let’s cut it to one, mmmkay? I know we’re trying to do the same things as we did with Hatch, but we got lucky as hell. We had better not be planning on spending $1.5 million at the MNGOP on another angry so and so campaign. Please no?

    might as well get the goat of the stalkerazzi too?

    Rep. Keith Ellison’s Official Congressional office was using the Ellison campaign email for official business according to a story published today. That’s right, Eva Young’s own Representative was allowing tax payer funded people to check campaign email or so it seems, or maybe official business was be funneled through the campaign. Not really sure, and don’t really care enough to look into it. Well, I’m guessing if it was or was not actually illegal seeing as the queen of the Bachmann derrangement syndrome club completely ignores the indiscretions of her own member of Congress and has not sent a flurry of ‘tips’ around the local MSM.

    While half-unpacked boxes remain in a few corners of the office, the congressional e-mail account is now up and running — a relief to volunteers who had to help go through Ellison’s campaign e-mail and retrieve relevant messages — and the office is in the process of hiring a constituent service coordinator, as well as three or four additional staff members to handle contact with constituents. Roughly half of their working hours will be spent responding to constituent concerns that come through the office and the other half will be spent out in the community, holding office hours and meetings at community centers, coffee shops and other areas of the district where constituents gather. They’ll also likely attend community meetings, Elliott said, not necessarily to speak but to just make residents aware that they are available and open to feedback.

    There, now everyone will be mad at me. Wait….

    You know, I think Rudy may be having some serious trouble. I got an email asking to sign up for Team Rudy, and that they were really trying hard to get Republican officials locally to sign up. It just seemed kind of desperate, which is why I am so freaked out about McCAin. I went to the JoinRudy08 website, and I couldn’t find a list of supporters. Yikes!

    there! Is are there any other friends or political allies I could piss off?

    One last one to really make sure.

    Feminine men who send out weird emails to let you know about stuff you don’t really care about really creep me out.

    Good night and good luck Twin Cities, I’m sure I’ll be sitting alone at Keegs tonight after a post like this.

    Wait…

    David Strom looks like a dwarf!

    Table for one please.

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    One Response to “Beware of the McPlenty - Dinosaur POTUS Polls & Campaigning”

    1. J. Ewing Says:

      If you’re not worried about sitting alone, it sure isn’t bothering me, and I’m not certain why you would suddenly start worrying about offending people, when you didn’t seem to before.

      That said, I’m optimistic and don’t think McCain has a prayer. Giuliani has a better chance with those who aren’t hard-core conservatives, and probably with the conservatives as well. My curiousity is with Pawlenty. Isn’t it awfully early to be presuming a VP nomination 18 months before we know who the presidential nominee is? There IS such a thing as picking the wrong horse.

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