Residual Forces

A Stream of Consciousness by Andy Aplikowski on His Life, His Politics, His Dogs, His Truck, and Whatever Pleases His Fancy

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  • Archive for October, 2005

    6th CD GOP Candidate Forum

    Posted by Andy on 31st October 2005

    6th Congressional District Republican Candidate Forum
    Hosted by Senate District 51 Republicans
    Sponsored by the Taxpayer’s League of Minnesota

    Minnesota’s 6th Congressional District election is one of the most highly competitive races in the country.
    Incumbent Congressman Mark Kennedy is seeking the Republican endorsement for the vacant US Senate
    seat, leaving his US House seat vacant. Four highly qualified Republicans are jockeying for the chance to
    go to Washington. So a Candidate’s Forum will help the voters of Minnesota’s 6th Congressional District
    make their decision on who will best serve them in Washington D.C.

    The Senate District 51 Republicans would like to announce that on November 12 they will be hosting a
    6th Congressional District Republican Candidate Forum. The event will include a social hour and lunch
    prior to the forum so that the attendees can interact with the candidates and many other guests. Lunch will
    be provided between 11:00 and noon on a first come basis, immediately followed by the candidate’s forum.

    6th Congressional District Republican Candidate Forum
    Hosted by Senate District 51 Republicans
    Sponsored by the Taxpayer’s League of Minnesota

    11:00 AM to 2:00 PM
    Saturday November 12, 2005
    The Mermaid Entertainment & Event Center
    2200 Hwy 10 Mounds View, MN 55112

    Event Details:

    11 to Noon-
    Social Hour, Lunch, and Candidate Meet & Greet Including Special Guests
    Noon-
    Special Guests & Introductions
    12:15 – 2:00 PM- Forum
    Sen. Michele Bachmann, Mr. Jay Esmay, Rep. Jim Knoblach, & Rep. Phil Krinkie
    Moderated by Dr. King Banaian of scsuscholars.com, Economist, Northern Alliance Radio Show Co-Host

    * The event is free and open to the public - Capacity 300 - First Come First Served
    *Candidates and Political Groups interested in attending must be pre-approved. No exceptions!
    *Groups wishing to display & distribute information must pay Vendor’s Fee. Space is Limited, call for details

    Comments are closed. Sorry.

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    Posted in MN Campaigns | 11 Comments »

    Busy Busy

    Posted by Andy on 31st October 2005

    Man has it been crazy lately at work. I’ve been swamped, so posting is hard to do. Here’s my thoughts on some of today’s news.

    Bush nominates Alito. That boy George. You seem to have otten this one right. Way to go. Now about all that spending.

    Minnesota’s Governor race will have no limits. Doran and Pawlenty will not sign on to the public financing, so they can spend however much they want. I think this will help Republicans. Not that Pawlenty can outraise the DFLers, but that the DFL candidate will be spending millions of dollars. They will loose the ‘little guy’ thing by dropping all that dough. Besides, the bread and butter DFL voter doesn’t have a ton of money to give a candidate. So DFLers will have to please the activist groups that give them money, driving them to the Left of most Minnesota voters.

    Deer. Mow the bleepers down. Thin out the numbers.

    That is about all I have time for right now.

    I have a speech to write tonight. Long story, I’ll let you in on the whole thing later.

    I am also getting the final details all hammered out for teh 6th Congressional District Forum. The invites are being printed. The press release is ready to go up in minutes. The Moderator has been selected.

    Darn it, my doorbell keeps ringing by a bunch of kids looking for candy. Darn halloween.

    You know, I think there are people knocking at my door who don’t even live in the neighborhood.

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    Posted in Life, MN Campaigns, Miscalany, National, Politics | No Comments »

    Can a Brother Get a Plug?

    Posted by Andy on 31st October 2005

    You don’t think that ‘Blue State Hack’ Nick wrote this do you?

    Finally, like many citizens in St. Paul, we were disappointed by Kelly’s active endorsement of President Bush in 2004; it made no sense for an urban mayor to support a federal administration that did so little for cities. To make matters worse, the mayor’s recent “major announcement” left many scratching their heads. After losing the September primary 2 to 1, he pleaded with voters not to vote “out of anger” over his presidential choice. Coming from one who is known to express anger often, the comments rang hollow.

    In the end, both candidates are moderate DFLers who share many of the same views. It has become clear, however, that Chris Coleman is better suited to carry a centrist vision forward in ways that fit the sensibilities of St. Paul citizens.

    Chalk full of crap.

    The City of St. Paul has very little time to correct their recent swing to the fringe. They are in fact voting against Bush on this one. Newsflash everyone, Bush has 3 years, then he is gone. Let sleeping dogs, or lame ducks lie.

    I’ve been saying that Kelly would be better off switching parties and running for Congress, but it is too late. Had Kelly taken the opportunity to leave the Democrats, before the polls came out, he’d have been relatively ok. He could have even ran as a Republican for Mayor. But it is far too late. The DFLers in St. Paul have been convinced Kelly is teh anti-christ. Theyy now officially believe that he, like Bush, actually does hate kids.

    St. Paul’s DFL has a track record of putting personal politics over the City’s best interest. Back in the 90’s Mayor Norm Coleman was forced to leave the Democrats because he would not allow gays to march in a parade. HE went on to become a US Senator for the Republicans. It is too earlier to tell if Kelly will have such political luck, but I fear that he’ll have to do something.

    It is becoming clear that St. Paul is on a mission to go left. They refuse to look at Minneapolis’ downward spiral and take teh neccessary precautions to avoid it. Mope, the activist leftist in the city have framed a mayor’s race on how the incumbent DFLer has been working with Republicans. He supported a Republican for President, because of a war. Now those fringe activists, are trying to blame Kelly for the State Government being forced to cut local govenrment aid. They claim it was all Pawlenty.

    My advice is that Randy switch parties. Randy you, like your predicesor, are being thrown out of a Party you can barely recognize anymore. I know you’ve said that yuou don’t want to do it, but you have no choice. You can either become a Republican and continue to fight for St. Paul’s best interest, or loose this election and watch the fringe leftists take this once great city down the rabbit hole.

    Taxes will skyrocket under Coleman’s leadership. Businesses will flee from the oppressive policies of the fringe DFLers. The recent growth and expansion in the city will slow to a crawl and eventually dry up.

    I’m finding it rather odd how involved in St. Paul politics the Strib is getting. But then again, they have a brother of the fringe DFL candidate on their staff. No word yet in non-monkey will be his brother’s choie for Lt. Governor.

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    Posted in Miscalany | No Comments »

    Doug Grow - Autistic Republican Kids Should Get No Treatment

    Posted by Andy on 30th October 2005

    Doug Grow, Strib hack, seems to believe that Republican children don’t deserve equal medical treatment. In a story about Republican Party Chairman Ron Carey, Grow harps on Carey’s autistic son’s treatment. Grow implies that since Carey is a self-described conservative, and a Republican advocating against bigger government, that he should not get treatment for his son.

    It’s so easy to have a philosophy. But so hard to live it.

    Take the case of Ron Carey, who became chairman of the Republican Party of Minnesota in June because many party activists feared that Gov. Tim (No New Taxes) Pawlenty was becoming too big a spender.

    Told ya!

    It is, said Carey, a wonderful program. His child — and the children of many others — have made huge strides through the work of the people at the center. Children of all economic backgrounds are welcome.

    That’s great.

    But isn’t there a conflict between Carey, the leader of a party so resistant to government spending, and Carey, the parent of a child who benefits from public spending?

    Grow proves that he does little more than accept the DFL assertions that Republicans are evil, and seek to abolish State government. Republicans and fiscal conservatives do not seek spending cuts at all costs. We seek a smaller more responsible government that can help those in need in the best way possible, like autistic children. But we do not believe in creating a system of state government where there is everything for everyone. The most effective way to do this is by reducing taxes, in order to make the government prioritize spending to where it is really needed, not where certain people want it to go.

    So should Carey let his son go untreated? That is what Grow seems to be getting at. I know first hand how the proper treatment can help an autistic child since I have a member of my family who is autistic. Should that child go with out treatment since I am a Republican?

    I understand that most of us live contradictory lives. Many of us who claim to be environmentalists drive pickup trucks. Many conservative farmers are happy to accept their subsidy checks. Many supporters of the war in Iraq don’t encourage their own children to join the military.

    But most of us aren’t in Carey’s shoes. We don’t lead political movements so resistant to public spending.

    Grow, since you take to the pages of a big market newspaper to change the world you live in, should be held to the same standard as politicians. (You’re doing the same thing)

    To me this looks like yet another attempt to criminalize politics, well, Republican politics. Grow seems to believe that if one is Republican, they must live in a separate world. He seems to follow the line of liberal reason where this is the DFL’s state, and if Republicans don’t like it, they should leave. That Republicans shouldn’t use mass transit. That Republicans shouldn’t use public education. That Republicans should not support any public assistance of any kind, and MUST make sure that they do not use anything that has received public money. He seems to think that Republicans should be isolated from the rest of society.

    Carey says spending on such programs as those offered by the Minnesota Autism Center define the whole notion of “compassionate conservatism.”

    “Government by nature is not bad,” Carey said. “It’s abuse that’s bad. It’s waste that’s bad.”

    Get it yet Grow? There is waste in government, and Republicans just want to get to the bottom of that.

    Carey said that having an autistic child “has made me a better person. But it hasn’t changed me from being a conservative Republican.”

    That’s what liberals don’t get. They assume people like Carey are not human since they don’t miraculously become flaming liberals since he has a child with above average educational needs. Similar to Grow’s earlier statement where he implied that if you drive a pick up, you hate the environment.

    People like Grow are doing nothing for the political discourse in Minnesota. He skirts the entire argument he brought up. this has nothing to do with Carey, his son, or the autism center. This is all about the fact that Republicans and Democrats have a completely different vision of what Minnesota’s government should look like. Republicans want a government that is mall and can effectively assist or protect the people that truly need it. Democrats want a Government with out Republicans in it, so they can create their utopia.

    Their goal is the nanny state. where you can only do what the government says. You cannot speak ill of the government, and the government is god. They do not believe that government can be too big (except for the military and defense) and that no one should even question the government.

    It is sad that Grow feels the need to bring Carey’s son into this, but if you can’t out debate them, drag their innocent children into the public eye for little more reason than hoping that your opponent will back off in the interest at protecting their family.

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    Posted in Minnesota, Politics | 6 Comments »

    Pawlenty Needs a Pep Talk

    Posted by Andy on 28th October 2005

    Pawlenty needs a pep talk. ASAP! This type of interview is not doing him any favors. So I guess I’ll do it, some one has to.

    On a day when DFL gubernatorial candidate Mike Hatch locked up his third quick labor endorsement, an uncharacteristically downbeat Republican Gov. Tim Pawlenty acknowledged that his party is “on the ropes” nationally and that he would consider himself “lucky to get reelected.”

    In a frank and wide-ranging interview with Minnesota Public Radio on Thursday morning, Pawlenty denied that he has any national political ambitions and downplayed the notion that Minnesota had trended Republican.

    “I’ll be lucky to get reelected governor in Minnesota next year,” he said on MPR’s Midmorning Show.

    Stop it. I know you are down in the dumps right now, but this is not helping. It is time to cowboy up, and get back to being the guy you used to be when you were that Republican who convincingly won a Minnesota State-wide office. That guy who held fast on some very tough budget battles. This new kinder, gentler, and more depressed Pawlenty of late makes no sense.

    Be a strong confident leader like you used to be. You lead we’ll follow. Don’t ‘gee gosh’ and walk around with your head down kicking stones. Get that chin up and get going. You got a state to run. Do it well, like you did in the beginning of your term, and you will be fine. This poor me, “I’ll be lucky…” crap will not win you one single vote.

    As recently as Wednesday at a St. Paul appearance, Republican National Committee chairman Ken Mehlman played up his party’s chances to take the state. But a rather glum Pawlenty on Thursday said Minnesota still “is a tough state for a Republican. It is still a Democratic state a bit, so any Republican is going to have a bit of an uphill climb. …

    “My only political plans are to get reelected next year, and I hope that I do,” he said.

    I was at that appearance, if you showed some of the energy, hope, and optimism that he did that day, this state would be right behind you. I know better than most, that sometimes it feels like all the world is piling it all on your shoulders or has it out for you, but it will not help to plea for sympathy.

    Pick up your helmut, get back on that field, and kick some arse the way I know you can. That is an order.

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    Posted in MN Campaigns | 4 Comments »

    Why Hugh is Wrong

    Posted by Andy on 28th October 2005

    Hugh Hewitt, fresh off his recent “Defend Miers, Defeat Conservatism” tour, has lashed out at his longtime friends the conservatives in the New York Times.

    OVER the last two elections, the Republican Party regained control of the United States Senate by electing new senators in Florida, Georgia, Minnesota, Missouri, North Carolina, South Carolina, South Dakota and Texas. These victories were attributable in large measure to the central demand made by Republican candidates, and heard and embraced by voters, that President Bush’s nominees deserved an up-or-down decision on the floor of the Senate.

    They still do deserve to have the Democrats give them their vote, rather than being blocked, filibustered, or publically humiliated in the official Senate record. But this was different. This nominee, how ever fine a person or loyal Bush friend she was, did not pass the smell test. She was NOT a nominee who had earned her day in court by spending her life in front of around the SCOTUS. How ever fine a person, confidant, or lawyer she was that does not mean she should be given a pass on proving she has what it takes to be on the Supreme Court.

    Now, with the withdrawal of Harriet Miers under an instant, fierce and sometimes false assault from conservative pundits and activists, it will be difficult for Republican candidates to continue to make this winning argument: that Democrats have deeply damaged the integrity of the advice and consent process.

    I completely disagree. First off this battle was fought outside of the Senate. It would be tanamount to the MoveON liberals sabotaging a moderate appointment had Kerry won last November. It was not slick Senators and staffers that stopped this nonsense. It was the new media, ironically Hugh’s own creation of sorts. It was Hugh himself that championed the blogosphere into relevance. He himself gave credit to the once laughed at electropundritry. So it pains me to point out that the ‘blogfather’ is wrong on this. The nomination was withdrawn before it got to the official advice and consent stage. Officially it would be no different if she had done so for health reasons. This is nothing like what was done to Estrada or the others. On that point, Hugh is just plain wrong.

    The right’s embrace in the Miers nomination of tactics previously exclusive to the left - exaggeration, invective, anonymous sources, an unbroken stream of new charges, television advertisements paid for by secret sources - will make it immeasurably harder to denounce and deflect such assaults when the Democrats make them the next time around.

    I agree the false attacks were wrong, but they were not the bulk of the objections. A large majority of the arguments against Miers did not come from the high powered and well funded people. The actual conservative base was up in arms over this one, right down to the street corner. It was not a scheme plotted in aristrocratic Ivy League circles of political pundits and think tanks. This battle went to the core of the conservatives.

    Maybe Bush and the Republican team he assembled to win reelection last year did not fully understand that when they promissed good judges, that this would be a campaign promise they had to keep. This was an issue that cut across conservative lines. Be it religous, pro-life, 2nd amendment, or just plain constitutionalism this was the unifying issue that made Bush’s campaign successful. This was the one issue that would allow most to turn a blind eye to other issues they did not agree with. It was this theme that got Bush reelected.

    Not all critics of Ms. Miers from the right used these tactics, and those who did not will be able to continue on with the project of restoring sanity to the process that went haywire with Judge Bork’s rejection in 1987. Conservatives are also fortunate that no Republican senator called for Ms. Miers’s withdrawal.

    Is Hugh actually saying that some lost the privilege or right to disagree in the future? He for one should know that if one is found out to have been dubious or unreliable in the past, they will have no merit or credibility in the future. And since no Senators did call for or openly oppose Miers on ideological grounds, this in no way relates to Bork.

    But the Democrats’ hand has been strengthened. Voting for or against Ms. Miers would have forced Senate Democrats to articulate a coherent standard for future nominees. Now, the Democrats have free rein.

    Had Bush and the pro-Miers side articulated a coherent set of reasons why we should support her, I believe we would have. But this time, some one forgot to tell the base just what was going on. We were blind-sided with a nominee that did not instantly exhibit the ability and readiness for the SCOTUS as Roberts did. From day one, it was more than clear that he did have what was needed to please the conservatives. His record of service before the court and the numerous colleagues, Hugh included, instantly rallied around him with cold hard first hand accounts of Roberts proven constitutional credibility. Little was left to doubt whether he would be a good fair Justice.

    The next nominee - even one who is a superb scholar and sitting judge who recently underwent Senate confirmation like Michael McConnell of the United States Court of Appeals for the 10th Circuit, or a long-serving superstar like Michael Luttig of the Fourth Circuit - will face an instant and savage assault. After all, it “worked” with Ms. Miers. A claim of “special circumstances” justifying a filibuster will also be forthcoming. And will other nominees simply pass on the opportunity to walk out in the middle of a crossfire?

    A superb scholar and sitting judge would not have faced such an assault that just happened. Had the kind of nominee Hugh speaks of been brought forth in the first place, the recent episode could have been avoided. And all the effort from the conservatives could have been used in favor of, rather than against. I’m not so sure the Democrats will readily seize on this recent braking of ranks on the right as the opportunity to once and for all kill conservatives. If anything, the movement is stronger than ever. For the first time ever, they got what they wanted all on their own inspite of the elected officials. They were forced with the decision to wait and see if the Senators they had elected would help them, or go it alone and prove the point themselves. This time, they did it all on their own. For once, it was the base that had the upper hand in the final say.

    A White House counsel with distinguished credentials was compared to Caligula’s horse and Barney the dog on National Review’s Web site. George Will denounced as “crude” those evangelicals who thought Ms. Miers’s faith was a good indication of character in a nominee and a hopeful sign on issues involving the unborn. She was labeled a crony before lunch on the day of her nomination by scores of commentators. Attacks on her competence within the White House followed immediately. She never had a chance, really.

    Such personal attacks are and always will be wrong according to me. But cronyism was pretty evident to me even before lunch. I saw the nomination as weak as it seemed to appease Democratic demands. Woman, with out publicly known right wing statements, speeches, and writings. She was the dream candidate if a Republican President had to work with a solidly Democratic Senate, but that is far from the case no matter how unreliable some RINOs vote. Bush had the upper hand. He had just nominated a man that single handedly annihilated the most powerful of the Democrats in DC. He silenced the leftist activists and legacy media in mere moments. He made it ok for conservatives to raise their heads out of the fox hole once again.

    The Miers precedent cements an extraconstitutional new standard for nominees. Had the framers intended only judges for the court, they would have said so. No doubt some Miers critics will protest a willingness to support nominees who have never sat on the bench, but no president is going to send one forward after this debacle

    I disagree. Right now, today, conservatives hold the upper hand in the political landscape. Hugh himself has pointed out that the actual ‘new idea’ makers today are on the right. So why is he surprised to see us expect results from our hard work? We for once, in this current generation, had been given a say in the long-term future of this country, were we supposed to sit by and let a b-squad justice get a life appointment? After all, the importance of the courts was the rallying cry for the Hugh and the Republicans. Had Miers had a record or clear evidence that proved she was ready to make life or death decisions on constitutional grounds she would have eagerly supported by the conservatives. When the time comes that a nominee comes forth, even with out judicial experience, that clearly displays his or her readiness for such a critical position, they will be welcomed like any of the rumored ’short list’ we were expecting. The only lesson to be learned here on this point is to send the absolute best potential judicial nominee forward, don’t leave the professionals on the sidelines when the game is on the line.

    It will be the lasting glory or the lasting shame of The Corner and others involved in driving Ms. Miers from the field, depending on what happens, and not just with the next nominee and his or her votes on the court, but all the nominees that follow, and all the Senate campaigns that will be affected, as well as the presidential race in 2008.

    I disagree. Yes some people were over the top, but these are the people who do little for election results. I believe that this will bring forth so many more good candidates for elections. This will also free up the tongues of some candidates already running or in office to embrace conservatism, rather than fear it. Many people are afraid of the possible public backlash from average people because the conservatives are often painted as fringe or far right, but in this case, it was these very people who held the line and for once showed the fortitude that they will not back down from the fight.

    I think that this will inspire many already in office to get back to the base on a wide range of issues. The Republicans had been drifting from the conservatives in recent years, and the divide was becoming too wide to bridge. Many elected officials feared alienation from the Republican Party if they dared be seen toeing the conservative line. Now they can see that given the right battles, the conservatives can be counted on to the end. Just imagine the effort against this nomination focussed properly on a leftist idea or policy, now add a Republican Party marching lock-step right besides them. That my friends is a force that cannot not be matched by the left. It would be unstoppable.

    This triumph of the conservative punditocracy will have lasting consequences, and I hope my fears are misplaced. The first returns will come in the decision on parental notification statutes that will be argued before the Supreme Court in late November. Absent a miracle of Senate efficiency, Justice Sandra Day O’Connor will cast one of her last votes on the most important abortion-rights case in a few years. And then the accounting will begin in earnest.

    Yes this upcoming vote is important, but not at the cost of a life-time of other votes on so many other issues. Miers’ one vote on this, at the possible votes on countless others, is not something that the conservative base can live with. Give us a good justice, that will rule judiciously, and the vast majority of America will be better off. The SCOTUS is not a place for promissed votes and rigid political beliefs.

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    Posted in National, Politics | No Comments »

    I Got No Gas

    Posted by Andy on 27th October 2005

    Remember that natural gas explosion last year? It was blamed on faulty fittings that were commonly used at that time. Responsibly, the gas companies began a program to replace all of those fittings.

    My neighborhood was one that had those fittings in it. They began the work here earlier this week. Great. I won’t blow up. I like that.

    But they just got done with my gas line. 6PM at night. Now I have to call the gas company to come out, turn on the gas, and relight my appliances.

    On the notice alerting us of the work being done, they said that would take 4 hours!

    Wouldn’t it have been better to have some one from the gas company around to do that? You know, hae a guy in the neighborhood so that as people get home from work, there is some one there right away to get the gas back on? I think that may have been much better than making people call in and wait. Especially because they didn’t tell me that today was the day.

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    Posted in Life | No Comments »

    Gloat Evening

    Posted by Andy on 27th October 2005

    With all the good news given to the conservative blogosphere earlier today, why not come celebrate at Keegan’s tonight? If you’re one of the moderates that have a sour taste in your mouth, now you know how it feels to be conservative. But cheer up and drink your sorrows away with the rest of the Party.

    Gloat Night at Keegan’s!

    8PM Keegan’s

    I think it safe to say the mood will be pretty darn good tonight, even if the Fraters show up and win trivia.

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    Posted in Minnesota, Miscalany, National, Politics | No Comments »

    Saving Grace - Miers Saves GOP Soul

    Posted by Andy on 27th October 2005

    She’s out.

    WASHINGTON - Harriet Miers withdrew her nomination to be a Supreme Court justice Thursday in the face of stiff opposition and mounting criticism about her qualifications.

    President Bush said he reluctantly accepted her decision to withdraw, after weeks of insisting that he did not want her to step down. He blamed her withdrawal on calls in the Senate for the release of internal White House documents that the administration has insisted were protected by executive privilege.

    As I do wish Ms. Miers well, I am glad that she has withdrawn her nomination and the President accepted.

    Hugh is wrong, gosh I love it. He said that Bush would never allow this. He was determined that the nomination would run its course. Priceless. Hopefully he will go back to the old Hugh where he doesn’t make ridiculous arguments.

    Update:

    Do we need to check Hugh’s banking records?

    Ms. Miers Withdraws
    October 27, 2005 06:30 AM PST

    I think Ms. Miers has been unfairly treated by many who have for years urged fair treatment of judicial nominees.

    She deserves great thanks for her significant service to the country. She and the president deserved much better from his allies.

    Is there a possibility he was on the dole with this? I agree some have been dishonest and hypocritical with their attacks, but by I opposed her solely on her qualifications. I never got personal and neither did any of the people that swayed my opinion on this. I for one feel Hugh and the President owe their allies a little on this one, not the other way around.

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    Posted in National, Politics | 5 Comments »

    Tenet on Enriched Uranium

    Posted by Andy on 26th October 2005

    This is a press release from former CIA Director George Tenet that covers the CIA’s side of the 16 words and Nigerian connection to Wilson.

    All emphasis is entirely mine, but the text is original.

    For perspective, a little history is in order.

    There was fragmentary intelligence gathered in late 2001 and early 2002 on the allegations of Saddam’s efforts to obtain additional raw uranium from Africa, beyond the 550 metric tons already in Iraq. In an effort to inquire about certain reports involving Niger, CIA’s counter-proliferation experts, on their own initiative, asked an individual with ties to the region to make a visit to see what he could learn. He reported back to us that one of the former Nigerien officials he met stated that he was unaware of any contract being signed between Niger and rogue states for the sale of uranium during his tenure in office. The same former official also said that in June 1999 a businessman approached him and insisted that the former official meet with an Iraqi delegation to discuss “expanding commercial relations” between Iraq and Niger. The former official interpreted the overture as an attempt to discuss uranium sales. The former officials also offered details regarding Niger’s processes for monitoring and transporting uranium that suggested it would be very unlikely that material could be illicitly diverted. There was no mention in the report of forged documents — or any suggestion of the existence of documents at all.

    Because this report, in our view, did not resolve whether Iraq was or was not seeking uranium from abroad, it was given a normal and wide distribution, but we did not brief it to the President, Vice-President or other senior Administration officials. We also had to consider that the former Nigerien officials knew that what they were saying would reach the U.S. government and that this might have influenced what they said.

    Is this really how the CIA operates? That explains a lot.

    Also in the fall of 2002, our British colleagues told us they were planning to publish an unclassified dossier that mentioned reports of Iraqi attempts to obtain uranium in Africa. Because we viewed the reporting on such acquisition attempts to be inconclusive, we expressed reservations about its inclusion but our colleagues said they were confident in their reports and left it in their document.

    Which they still stand by, for the record.

    In October, the Intelligence Community (IC) produced a classified, 90 page National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on Iraq’s WMD programs. There is a lengthy section in which most agencies of the Intelligence Community judged that Iraq was reconstituting its nuclear weapons program.

    Wait, I thought teh left said they never had WMD’s or nukes?

    But in the interest of completeness, the report contained three paragraphs that discuss Iraq’s significant 550-metric ton uranium stockpile and how it could be diverted while under IAEA safeguard. These paragraphs also cited reports that Iraq began “vigorously trying to procure” more uranium from Niger and two other African countries, which would shorten the time Baghdad needed to produce nuclear weapons. The NIE states: “A foreign government service reported that as of early 2001, Niger planned to send several tons of pure “uranium” (probably yellowcake) to Iraq. As of early 2001, Niger and Iraq reportedly were still working out the arrangements for this deal, which could be for up to 500 tons of yellowcake.” The Estimate also states: “We do not know the status of this arrangement.” With regard to reports that Iraq had sought uranium from two other countries, the Estimate says: “We cannot confirm whether Iraq succeeded in acquiring uranium ore and/or yellowcake from these sources.” Much later in the NIE text, in presenting an alternate view on another matter, the State Department’s Bureau of Intelligence and Research included a sentence that states: “Finally, the claims of Iraqi pursuit of natural uranium in Africa are, in INR’s assessment, highly dubious.”

    Highly dubious? Does any one else feel scared senseless that these are the people that are supposed to be able to figure this out? Dubious? Keystone cops anyone?

    Portions of the State of the Union speech draft came to the CIA for comment shortly before the speech was given. Various parts were shared with cognizant elements of the Agency for review. Although the documents related to the alleged Niger-Iraqi uranium deal had not yet been determined to be forgeries, officials who were reviewing the draft remarks on uranium raised several concerns about the fragmentary nature of the intelligence with National Security Council colleagues. Some of the language was changed. From what we know now, Agency officials in the end concurred that the text in the speech was factually correct - i.e. that the British government report said that Iraq sought uranium from Africa. This should not have been the test for clearing a Presidential address. This did not rise to the level of certainty which should be required for Presidential speeches, and CIA should have ensured that it was removed.

    The Brits still stand by their reports, so Bush did not lie here. And on a nother note: the CIA is a mess in my estimation.

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